I’m very excited that the Binion Index now matches my eye test and officially gives GT a 0% chance of winning on the Saturday after Thanksgiving. Things are going great.
Tracking the Model
The Binion Index surged in week 10, hitting 58% ATS with a mean error of 12.2 points. That’s a solid winning week.
We track the model’s performance by analyzing how it does against the Vegas spread over the course of the season, and how it does compared compared to the actual point margin of each game. Winning 55% of games ATS is typically considered the gold standard of performance, and hitting an absolute error of 12.