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Georgia Tech Football: GT Defense vs. Duke Advanced Stats Review

Final Score: Georgia Tech 23 Duke 20 (OT)

Model Prediction: Duke by 2, GT to cover: Correct

Projected EPA (Offense and Defense) Margin of Victory: GT by 17

GT Win Probability (Based on Success Rate, Yards Per Play, and EPA): 88%

Georgia Tech won its second straight game for the first time since Paul Johnson’s farewell season. Overall, Tech largely dominated this game despite the razor-thin final margin. Unlike last week, GT did the more predictive things much better than Duke did in this game.