Final Score: NIU 22-21
Vegas Spread: GT by 19
Model Prediction: GT by 12
Projected EPA (Offense and Defense) Margin of Victory: GT by 6.5
GT Win Probability (Based on Success Rate, Yards Per Play, and EPA): 75%
The Las Vegas consensus line had Georgia Tech as about a 90% favorite to beat Northern Illinois. The play by play numbers show that GT wins this game 75% of the time.
But in the opening game of the pivotal third season of the Geoff Collins era, Georgia Tech lost to Northern Illinois.