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Georgia Tech Football: Advanced Stats Review - GT vs. Clemson

Final Score: Clemson 14-8

Model Prediction: Clemson by 25

Projected EPA (Offense and Defense) Margin of Victory: Clemson by 8

GT Win Probability (Based on Success Rate, Yards Per Play, and EPA): 22%

In a game that Vegas gave GT about a 2% chance to win, Georgia Tech played well enough to win the game almost a quarter of the time. I haven’t talked to any GT fan who seriously expected to win going into Saturday, and coming within one score with a chance to tie the game from the one yard line in the final minute exceeded my wildest expectations.