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FSU can benefit from Louisville being awful on third down—on both sides of the ball

Last week, I wrote about how poorly Florida State has seized upon its chances of converting on third downs. The Seminoles were the worst power-five team in the country in that regard, but they did a better job of staying on schedule against Northern Illinois last week, and as a result, they vaulted all the way up to a tie for 119th out of 130 FBS squads. Presently, they’re tied with that same NIU squad at a success rate of 31.15%.

That means that there’s a new worst-of-the-P5 third-down team, and yes, it’s Louisville, FSU’s week five opponent.