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Why numeric projections may be right and wrong about Florida football

With the season about to start, Gator fan optimism seems to be peaking. In a recent poll in the Gator Country Bullgator Den, the most common answers to how many wins Florida football would have this year were nine (40.1% of votes) and eight (34.2%). That said, the combination of nine and ten (16.8%) added up to more than half of the total votes.

It’s natural to have the best feelings right before the season, but the unfeeling methods of projecting wins aren’t quite so high on the Gators. The S&P+ analytics system has UF favored in only eight games with a projected win total of 7.