One of the major findings of the football analytics movement is that turnovers have a lot of luck embedded in them. After that result was firmly established, there has been a lot of work done to try to figure out where the luck ends and what, if anything, can be predicted in the category.
An example of this effort is the demonstration that interceptions happen more often when a team is behind. Chase Stuart showed this fact with NFL data a few years ago, and I was able replicate the result with college football data. The following is from all college football data from 2005-18.