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Aug 10
by Jon Collins
I’ve often cited a player’s catch rate as a reason to buy into his opportunities for increased production in a coming season (or, to not). The logic itself is fairly sound, a guy who catches a lot of his targets historically is going to make good on increased opportunities… that said, one major failing of this approach is that it fails to account for nuances in QB play and accuracy.
Credit Pat Mayo of FNTSY Sports Network for making a clear point that catch rate cannot be considered in a vacuum (at the 5 minute mark of our appearance together on The Pat Mayo Hour) and the folks at Pro Football Focus, a group of minds far more analytical and wise than myself, for making the data available to begin with.