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Early Seasons Measure Of Success

I see where ESPN’s Joe Lunardi recently updated his Bracketology for March. I also noted the recent debate on the DBR message boards about Duke’s slow drop in the AP poll. I see continue to see references to Pomeroy’s numbers and to the RPI.

Do any of these matter?

More specifically, do any of these early season rankings or projections have any value when it comes to projecting what’s going to happen in March?

Obviously, there is still a lot of basketball to be played and things can change – a lot – for any team.