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Tigers’ Matt Boyd is better than his high ERA indicates

Matt Boyd’s second start of the 2017 season could hardly have gone any better. He pitched six shutout innings against the Minnesota Twins on Tuesday, allowing just one hit and striking out six to boot. His pitching accumulated 0.35 win probability added (WPA) in one afternoon.

The dazzling performance was almost enough to make fans forget about his first start of the season, which could hardly have gone worse. On April 6, Boyd only managed to go 2 13 innings while allowing five runs. His WPA in that game was -0.34, giving him a season-long WPA of +0.