During the winter, I crunched the numbers and arrived at 90 wins for the Tigers. When I saw that other sites such as FanGraphs (81 wins) and Baseball Prospectus (79) were must less optimistic about the Tigers, I was thinking maybe I was being biased. So, I looked at my projections again, but came to the conclusion that the Tigers were a better team than the more sophisticated systems were saying.
The biggest discrepancy between Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA projection and my rudimentary formula was for outfielder JD Martinez. PECOTA is pegging him for a .