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Our Madden 25 simulations are broken again.

When we first started doing them, Madden predicted the wrong winner in each of the Detroit Lions’ first four games.

After the bye, it seemed like the Madden ratings had properly adjusted, and the Madden Lions had won three in a row—just as the real Lions had. But in the past two weeks, Madden has predicted Lions losses and was thoroughly humbled by the real-life version in back-to-back games.

Here are the week-by-week results from our Madden simulations compared to the actual thing:

Week 1:

  • Madden: 24-20 Rams
  • Actual: 26-20 (OT) Lions

Week 2:

  • Madden: 31-24 Lions
  • Actual: 20-16 Buccaneers

Week 3

  • Madden: 42-17 Cardinals
  • Actual: 20-13 Lions

Week 4:

  • Madden: 31-26 Seahawks
  • Actual: 42-29 Lions

Week 6:

  • Madden: 31-28 Lions
  • Actual: 47-9 Lions

Week 7:

  • Madden: 35-14 Lions
  • Actual: 31-29 Lions

Week 8:

  • Madden: 30-24 (OT) Lions
  • Actual: 52-14 Lions

Week 9:

  • Madden: 24-17 Packers
  • Actual: 24-14 Lions

Week 10:

  • Madden: 28-24 Texans
  • Actual: 26-23 Lions

Certainly, they couldn’t get it wrong this week, right?