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What is a successful quarterback draft?

When a quarterback is drafted, particularly in the top half of the first round, the team that is drafting them wants them to become a long-term starter. This happens much less frequently than most teams would like. It is not uncommon for the first second and/or third quarterback drafted to be “failures”.

See the table below in my tweet.

30 years of QB drafts in the NFL. Orange is Bronco QB draftees, yellow is guys who played for Denver but were not drafted by the Broncos. Lots of 2nd and 6th QBs. pic.twitter.com/ZOrfkqlsWt

— Joe Mahoney (@ndjomo76) May 6, 2024

Most NFL fans can quickly look at the table above and call “success” or “failure” and just about every pick shown above.