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Throwing deep and accuracy in the NFL

The farther you throw the ball in the NFL, the lower the chance of a completion. If you average the 2018 and 2019 seasons, passes thrown 5 yards from the LOS were completed 72 percent of the time. Compare that to a completion percentage of 40 percent for passes thrown 30 yards from the LOS. It would stand to reason that quarterbacks who throw more deep passes are going to be less accurate. We shall dig into that in this article.

Depth of throw will be tracked by a stat called average intended air yards, IAY, which is available from NFL NextGen Stats.