Generally a team that is picking in the top three is doing so because they were terrible the season before. There are rare occasions where they have that pick because of a trade and they weren’t terrible the year before, but it is the general trend. For example in 2021, the top three picks were all quarterbacks and they went to teams that finished the previous season 3-14 (Jaguars), 4-13 (Jets) and 10-7 (49ers). The 49ers moved up to take Trey Lance by giving the Dolphins their 2021 first round pick (which they traded to the Cowboys, who took Micah Parsons), a 2022 first and third round pick, and a 2023 first round pick.
The wisdom? of using the 1st, 2nd or 3rd pick of the draft on a quarterback.
