According to Football Outsiders’ Playoff Odds report that runs a simulation of the NFL season 30,000 times, the Denver Broncos are now the favorite to land the top pick in the 2021 draft.
The simulation is based on FO’s algorithm that measures the quality of play of every team and is something I check every week of every NFL season. The Broncos made the playofffs 4% of the time, and landed the #1 overall pick 17.7% of the time. They had a top 5 draft pick 56.4% of the time. Right or wrong, it speaks to where these Broncos are.