With the regular season less than a month away and there being a lot of uncertainty regarding how teams will use personnel and schemes, I wanted to look into how good coaches have been calling plays on the offensive and defensive side of the ball.
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I’ve written about this before, and the basic idea is to use play-by-play data and its canonical success metric — expected points added — to set expectations about how a team should perform based on circumstances and the strengths of both their team and their opponent.