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The Dallas Cowboys have an analytics problem

Dallas Cowboys head coach Jason Garrett is officially on the hot seat. Gifted a talented roster and an easy schedule, the team he’s responsible for has failed to meet expectations. The team currently sits at 6-5 and were it not for a woefully poor NFC East would be on the outside looking in at the playoffs.

This is not what fans, the media, or (most importantly) what Jerry Jones envisioned back in August. Garrett has come under extreme scrutiny because four of the five Cowboys’ losses have been by less than four points. In each of those losses, Garrett has made multiple decisions that seemed to fly in the face of what statistics tells us is the correct decision.