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20 versus 10, the Myth of the Tank

These are agonizing times for Blue Jackets fans. The team is well out of the playoffs and the only thing to look forward to is the draft. Last night, a Blue Jackets team with a healthy spicing of Lake Erie Monsters whip-sawed a Toronto Maple Leafs team composed largely of Marlies in the 3rd period; scoring 4 goals to ensure that the Blue Jackets could finish no lower than 28th. This means the CBJ have roughly a 10% chance of winning the lottery for the number one pick. Yes, you can quibble about the difference between 13.5% and 11%, but it's still roughly a 1 in 10 chance.