After a rough start to the season, Carlos Carrasco has already been labeled a bounce-back candidate by fantasy analysts due to his elevated BABIP. Eight starts in, it sits at .359, which is well above the expected level of .300 over an extended sample size.
In theory, over the course of the season Carrasco’s BABIP should normalize to about .300, which means a streak of good luck is in his future.
When you consider the rate at which Carrasco strikes hitters out, a low BABIP would likely lead to a truly dominant stretch.