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Don't trust a sure thing

Since the calendar year is just weeks from reaching its end, we can now start defining 2016. This one is simple: 2016 is the year of conventional wisdom. More specifically, 2016 is the year where conventional wisdom was proven wrong over and over again.

We’ve seen a Big South team win the College World Series. We’ve seen a team from the middle of the ACC make the Final Four and a team from the top lose a championship in the final few seconds. This is painful, I know, but we’ve seen a team leading in the fourth quarter of the CFP title game score 16 points in that final frame and still lose.