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The playoff odds for the Reds are better than you think

A tweet from Major League Baseball alerted me to Fangraphs projected standings and playoff odds for the 2021 season. Things can and will change before the season begins because a lot is still going to take place before then – trades, signings, injuries – that will change the odds at least a little bit. But as of today, a day before pitchers and catchers are set to report for spring training in Goodyear for the Cincinnati Reds, the odds for Cincinnati to make the playoffs are sitting at 18.3%.

That’s roughly 1 out of 5. The projected won/loss record for the Reds is 78-84.