By now, we shouldn't even be surprised anymore.
The San Francisco Giants hit the road to take on the New York Mets Wednesday in the National League Wild Card one-game playoff, and our algorithm had the Mets as slight favorites at 54.6% heading into the game.
Two and a half hours later -- after Bumgarner's third postseason, complete-game shutout -- we should have had a win probability for the Giants set at 99.99%.
Bumgarner fired nine more scoreless innings, allowing a mere seven base runners (one via an intentional walk), and striking out six Mets en route to a 3-0 Giants victory.