If the Bengals were to lose at home to the Steelers on Sunday, is there any chance they wouldn't actually win the AFC North by season's end?
The Steelers chances of winning out are as follows...
According to fivethirtyeight.com, the Steelers have about a 6% chance to win out this year with three of their final four games on the road. In addition to the Steelers winning out, the only way the Bengals could lose the division is if they lose out. Here is how likely that is to happen...
If the Bengals were to lose out on the AFC North title and the Steelers were to win the AFC North crown, both of these independent scenarios would have to be true, so the Bengals have about a 1/1,250 chance in losing the division.