Draft history is fascinating, and maybe the first thing you learn when looking through past drafts is not just how few players make the majors but also how few end up contributing much value beyond replacement level even if they do make it. Drafting a future star is rare -- even in the first round. Drafting a solid contributor is rare -- even in the first round. Drafting two solid contributors in one draft is rare. It's a roll of the dice, yet the future success of your favorite team depends to a large degree on its ability to draft well.