Heading into tonight’s Chicago Fire-San Jose Earthquakes match (7 p.m. CT, FS1, TUDN), the Fire are not only the favorites to win their group—they’re now among the favorites to win the entire MLS is Back Tournament, according to FiveThirtyEight.
Right now, the stats site is giving the Fire a 54 percent chance to win Group B, and a six percent chance to win the tournament—which is behind only LAFC, Philadelphia Union, Toronto FC and Minnesota United.
If the Fire beat San Jose, they will lock up a spot in the knockout round, and they’ll be watching the outcome of the night’s other match, Seattle-Vancouver (9:30 p.