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Quantifying Hope: Skid Drops Cubs to 36.5% Playoff Odds, Third in Division

I missed last week because I was on the road to the middle of nowhere in central Michigan, so the Cubs’ stretch of bad play since our previous installment makes for a stark drop. Their playoff odds were a little over 65% at that point, but dropping nine of 12 games in the meantime has them at 36.5% entering play against the Reds this afternoon. Remember when we thought they just needed to tread water until everyone was healthy?

Well, they’ve had a full complement of regulars for a while now and they’re actually playing worse.