Quantifying Hope Quickie: Cubs Loss Plus Mets, Braves Wins Drop Chances to 0.2%

The Cubs entered their series with the Rockies clinging in vain to 1.1% postseason odds, but those have all but evaporated thanks to a confluence of events Friday night. Not only did the Cubs fall to the Rockies, but the Mets and Braves both won to put the Cubs six games out of the Wild Card with 15 left to play. The Braves are a game behind the Mets, for what it’s worth.

While every loss is severely detrimental to the cause at this point, dropping a game to one of the two worst teams in the league takes an added psychological toll. And when the result came down to a bullpen that has been so good over the last few months giving up a bunch of runs late, things get that much more dire. Direr?…