Every year, MLB Trade Rumors posts estimates for arbitration salaries for MLB players.
This year is no different, but their methodology has changed because of the shortened season. Here’s their explanation:
This winter, those involved in the process do not know how arbitration will account for the 60-game season, nor is there an agreement in place between MLB and the MLBPA on how to address it. Many cases may end up getting resolved in a hearing room. To reflect that uncertainty, we’re providing three projections for each player:
Method 1: Applies model directly with actual statistics from this 60-game season
Method 2: Extrapolates all counting stats to would-be 162-game totals.