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Cubs’ Playoff Probability Gets Worse, World Series Chances Improve as MLB Season Gets Shorter

It stands to reason that an abbreviated MLB schedule will create much more competitive postseason races in 2020. With less distance over which to run away from the pack, there’s a lot more room for randomness to dictate the proceedings. Even a relatively minor injury to an ace pitcher on a contending team will have a great deal more impact in an 81-game season than it would otherwise.

Spending a month on the IL means missing a quarter of the season, assuming baseball makes it back in June, and a breakout from an unlikely star could propel a middling team into contention.