Chicago Cubs: Examining PECOTA projections for the offense in 2019

PECOTA projections are officially out and that means a dive into what the numbers predict and whether the Chicago Cubs offense can rise from the ashes.

For Chicago Cubs fans not sure about what PECOTA rankings entail, join the club. It is a system from Baseball Prospectus which stands to measure player performance based on a comparison with historical player-seasons. The three elements included in this tracking system are a player’s Major League equivalencies, baseline forecasts, and a career-path adjustment.

These measures, first, predict how a player will produce, based on data of their Minor League stats. Makes sense, right? The second measure of this uses weighted averages and regression…