I need to begin this article with a disclaimer. This began as an investigation about whether or not it was possible to tell the difference between a “successful” and an “unsuccessful” quarterback during the course of an early playing window. As a research question, this meant that I needed to have a clear definition of success and at least a loose definition of failure, and it also meant that I needed to track various markers of performance to see whether or not there was a difference in any of those markers from one group to the next.