I picked the 2024 Chicago Bears to win eleven games.
Spoiler alert: the 2024 Chicago Bears are not likely to win eleven games.
That is not to say this cannot be a good season, or even a very good season. It can. The Bears have a defense that will keep them in every single game; they have been borderline incoherent offensively through three weeks and are still a play or two away from being 3-0. Teams in this league are separated by inches, not yards, and the Bears will be improving incrementally as the campaign continues.