If it feels like the 2022 version of the Buffalo Bills defense is giving up a lot of third- and fourth-downs where the opponent has to gain what would seem like a difficult amount of yards in order to convert, it’s not just you. Sometimes, our purely anecdotal evidence doesn’t stand up when presented with cold, hard, and uncaring metrics. Our frustrations can be based on “the eye test,” which is all too often incredibly biased and prone to all manner of logical fallacies like confirmation bias.
But that’s not the case with the Bills’ defense in 2022, at least as it relates to late down and long distance.