By our Football Power Index, Thursday’s clash between the Buffalo Bills and New York Jets was determined to be the most impactful game of the week with regards to playoff chances.
The Bills’ playoff probability jumped to approximately 47 percent with the win. The Jets’ playoff probability fell to about 50 percent with a loss (definitive numbers are updated each Tuesday morning).
Had the game gone the other way, the Jets’ playoff probability would have increased to 80 percent and the Bills’ would have dropped to 18 percent.
Why are the Jets’ chances still higher than the Bills when both teams have the same 5-4 record?