The Buffalo Bills fell from playoff position with their loss to the Miami Dolphins on Sunday. They now sit seventh in the AFC and will need some help to get back into position, but most analytics aren’t as down on Buffalo as Bills fans are.
At 4-3, Buffalo has a 50-50 shot of making the playoffs according to historical data from FiveThirtyEight.com. Obviously, being at 75% after a win in Miami would have been better. Taking into account score differential, the unexpected nature of their wins, and more, the website also gives this specific Buffalo team a 50% chance of making the playoffs with a projected 9.