The Buffalo Bills have rattled off three straight wins to get to 3-2. Right now, that places them in a tie for the sixth playoff spot with the Baltimore Ravens. That doesn’t mean the analysis-based playoff predictions don’t favor the Bills.
Technically speaking, teams that are 3-2 make the playoffs 50% of the time according to this graphic from analytics site FiveThirtyEight.com . But FiveThirtyEight actually gives Buffalo a much better chance than that this year. Taking into account score differential, the unexpected nature of their wins, and more, the website actually gives Buffalo a 65% chance of making the playoffs, the fifth-best number in the AFC.