I’m not sure if you’ve heard, but the Buffalo Bills have a turnover problem this season. Specifically, they’re making my preseason predictions look really bad. I predicted 27 takeaways and 23 giveaways. They’re currently on pace for 32 takeaways, which is the good kind of wrong at least. But the extrapolation of 34 giveaways this season is more wrong, and also the bad kind of wrong.
Wait, what? We should worry about giveaways because they’re correlated with wins and losses? Fine, I suppose the Bills giving the ball away more than 29 other teams (everyone but the New Orleans Saints and Indianapolis Colts) is a bigger deal than “Skare made a bad guess.