The Buffalo Bills are the NFL’s most likely playoff team after three weeks according to number-crunching site FiveThirtyEight. Coming in with an 89% chance of making the postseason, they are 7% clear of the next-highest AFC team, the Tennessee Titans. Buffalo’s projected record of 12-5 is also tops, along with a staggering projected point differential of +154.
Buffalo’s playoff chances are buoyed by their 79% chance of winning the AFC East (tied for the highest percentage in the league). At 2-1, Buffalo is a game ahead of the Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots at 1-2 and the woeful 0-3 New York Jets, plus they have a tiebreaker over Miami.