The expectations for the Buffalo Bills to dominate the Green Bay Packers on Sunday Night Football at home were very high, considering they had the entire bye week to prepare for quarterback Aaron Rodgers and company. And, for the most part, that’s exactly what played out in the Bills’ 27-17 win, despite the final score being closer than what many expected—and what felt possible at the end of the first half.
The Bills’ lowest win probability (69.3%), per ESPN Analytics, came just five minutes into the game—immediately after the Bills went three-and-out on their opening drive.