Over the last week or two, I’ve listened to multiple Red Sox podcasts discussing the path and the math that the Red Sox somehow still have to the third and final Wild Card spot. The general consensus is they basically have to win every series the rest of the way to catch the Twins because Fangraphs and Baseball Reference both have Minnesota’s projected win total at 86 wins or higher, and have for weeks now.
For the Red Sox to reach that floor and get to 86 wins at this stage, they now have to go 13-5 the rest of the way, which as others have noted, basically means they need to win every (or just about) every series from here on in.