One of the worst things that can happen to a newbie in Las Vegas is to win at the slots or the craps table early. You’re fooled about how easy and often success comes, and you get hooked. You keep at it, throwing good money after bad, chasing that high you experienced early. And you wind up gambling away your life’s savings.
An equivalent in the NFL might be trying to get an accurate evaluation of Daniel Faalale and Pat Mekari at RG and RT, and playing the Cowboys. Wow, they look great! If you’re John Harbaugh, maybe you’re strutting around with pride, saying you were right all along.