Going into the season, we weren’t necessarily high on the Ravens. We projected them with a mere 14.5% chance to win their division. We had some good reasons for that: Their defense played a strong 2018 campaign (finishing fifth in our PFF WAR metric) and added Earl Thomas over the offseason, but defense is generally more volatile than offense. Their offense finished 2018 as only the 18th-best unit per our PFF WAR metric, and Lamar Jackson had the usual struggles of a rookie, finishing the 2018 regular season with a 58.5 overall grade.
PFF Data Study: How the Ravens' offense takes the league by storm
