The roster construction of Super Bowl winners can be vastly different from year to year -- last season saw the Denver Broncos’ defense drag a bad offense to a Lombardi Trophy, while this year’s final four is filled with great offenses and middling defenses. But this doesn’t mean these teams are all that different from winners of Super Bowls past.
Using our schedule-adjusted Net Expected Points (NEP) metric and single-season team rankings on offense and defense, we can attempt to get a look at which previous Super Bowl winners most closely compare to the teams playing in the conference championship games.