Can the 2025 Orioles beat the computers again? With the days winding down before spring training, Baseball Prospectus’s venerable PECOTA projection has been unveiled for the 2025 season. In its simulation average, the O’s end up as the second place team in the AL East with an average of 89.2 wins.
In a different era of the Orioles, one annual ritual was seeing how the assorted computer projected systems would view the team, then looking back at year’s end and seeing how wrong they were. The PECOTA system missing by ten or more wins in the playoff years from 2012-16 was a source of indignant commentary, including from me.