The MLB draft is a crapshoot, or at least, this is what front offices that aren’t any good at it have to tell themselves to feel better and their owners in order to keep their jobs. It is a challenge to identify the amateur talent with the best chance of succeeding at the highest level of baseball and there’s certainly some luck involved, but teams with good scouting and good development still manage to make it happen.
The Orioles, as fans are painfully aware, are not a team that’s had a recent track record of churning out top prospects and having them become useful big leaguers.