The Orioles under Buck Showalter have long been making preseason PECOTA projections look as clueless as the Orioles lineup against a rookie junk pitcher. PECOTA has been off by more than 10 wins when predicting the Orioles’ final record in four out of the last five years.
In three of those years, they’ve underestimated the Fightin’ Bucks by at least 15 games. PECOTA may not hate the O’s specifically, but their algorithm certainly doesn’t do the team any favors.
This year, the PECOTA projections once again pegged the Orioles as a last place team, predicting them for 73 wins.