On Sunday, something familiar and terrible happened again. The Atlanta Falcons went into the very end of the game with a lead, and they lost it as time expired.
Per ESPN’s not-exactly-perfect but fundamentally sound win probability numbers, Atlanta blew its third game in 2020 with a win probability of 98%. Each time, they’ve done so in unique fashion, with four punts and a missed goal paired with a last minute interception dooming them against Chicago, a complete defensive collapse and botched onside kick recovery killing their chances against Dallas, and now poor defense and costly decision-making hurting them against Detroit.