Let’s get this out of the way up front: No one should expect Mike Davis to put up 16 or 17 touchdowns the way that Derrick Henry did the past two years in Tennessee. I’m optimistic about what Davis can do, but Henry is one of the best in the league and an absolute freak of nature.
That doesn’t mean we shouldn’t expect plenty of scoring from the team’s newest lead back. Let’s take a look at what history tells us about the Falcons, lead running backs and total touchdowns.
The baseline
Last year, Todd Gurley may not have been particularly effective overall, but he did a strong job of getting into the end zone (once when the Falcons didn’t really want him to, even).