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Preseason Projections Award Atlanta Braves NL East Crown

No matter the situation, there is a refusal to count out the Atlanta Braves for next season. FanGraphs and the PECOTA projections don’t just favor the Braves to make the playoffs but to re-take the National League East from the Philadelphia Phillies.

FanGraphs gives the Braves a 61.9% chance to win the NL East along with a 92.6% chance to make the postseason overall. The Phillies have a 20.1% chance. Even after the signing of Juan Soto, the Mets have the third-best chance to win the East.

Here are the NL East teams with their projected records, round to the closest whole number, for 2025:

  1. Atlanta Braves 93-68
  2. Philadelphia Phillies 87-75
  3. New York Mets 87-75
  4. Washington Nationals 72-90
  5. Miami Marlins 70-92

The Braves also have the second-best odds to win the World Series behind the Dodgers with a 15.